Another Round of Severe Weather Possible in Lubbock on Thursday

For the fourth consecutive day this week, Lubbock and the South Plains will be expecting another round of severe weather.

Thursday's outlook from the Storm Prediction Center puts Lubbock and the eastern South Plains in the 'Enhanced' risk area for severe weather. The main risks for May 27th: winds above 70 mph, hail above 2 inches in diameter and possible tornadoes.

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No injuries were reported Wednesday night when a night-time funnel cloud was spotted in Hale County, west of Hale Center.

If severe weather does develop, Ron Roberts and Rob Snyder will have the latest severe weather updates for you on News/Talk 95.1 & 790, KFYO, Awesome 98 and Lonestar 99.5 FM.

Storm Prediction Center Outlook for May 27th, 2021:

 Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0744 AM CDT Thu May 27 2021

   Valid 271300Z - 281200Z

   ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHERN GREAT
   PLAINS TO OZARKS...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected from parts of the
   southern Great Plains into the Ozarks and Mid-Mississippi Valley.
   Significant damaging winds, very large hail, and a few tornadoes are
   possible.

   ...Southern Great Plains to Mid-MS Valley...
   Most guidance has poorly simulated overnight convection along with
   the stabilizing impacts of ongoing and decayed convection in parts
   of the open warm sector. Confidence is greatest in a strongly
   unstable air mass with MLCAPE in excess of 2500 J/kg developing from
   west TX into most of OK this afternoon where upper 60s to low 70s
   surface dew points persist beneath the eastern extent of the
   elevated mixed-layer. Lesser confidence exists in the amplitude of
   destabilization with northeast extent into the Mid-MS Valley given a
   combination of lesser boundary-layer moisture, weaker mid-level
   lapse rates, and/or residual cloud cover. 

   Guidance that has more closely simulated the elevated convection in
   the northwest OK/south-central KS vicinity generally suggest
   increasing coverage this morning as low-level warm/moist advection
   persists in the wake of earlier decayed convection. This activity
   should eventually impinge on richer boundary-layer moisture towards
   north-central/northeast OK, yielding a potential severe threat as
   early as midday. One or more clusters with embedded supercells
   should develop east towards the Ozarks and south towards the Red
   River through the afternoon. Additional supercells should form along
   the dryline by mid to late afternoon in the afternoon from the TX
   Trans-Pecos north to the intersection with the cold front/leading
   outflow near the southeast TX Panhandle into western OK. Large hail
   (some very large) will be most pronounced with supercells, while
   amalgamating cold pools should support a significant severe wind
   threat by late afternoon continuing into the evening. A few
   tornadoes are also possible particularly in interactions with
   storm-scale outflows owing to relatively modest low-level shear.
   Timing of transition to severe, as well as how far south convection
   will develop prior to peak surface heating, lowers confidence in
   attempting to identify a mesoscale corridor of greater hazard
   probabilities with this outlook cycle.

   Farther northeast across the Lower MO to Mid-MS Valley, multiple
   MCVs are evident with leading convection in northeast MO rather
   poorly simulated by guidance. Confidence is fairly low that the
   degree of destabilization indicated by guidance will truly be
   achieved downstream across the Mid-MS Valley, as well as over the
   Lower MO Valley where an attempt at air mass recovery may occur
   ahead of the impinging cold front. Nevertheless, favorable
   deep-layer shear and ascent downstream of the northern Great Plains
   shortwave trough will support a conditional severe threat through
   this evening.